Presidential Election

The U.S. Presidential Election released by the USA.gov is the consecutive quadrennial United States presidential election and decides the President and the Vice President of the United States. It is a significant event to determine the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. Also holding congressional elections: voters will elect all 435 members to the US House of Representatives and 33 members to the Senate. The election might affect the USD volatility.

Tuesday 5 November 2024 00:00

Trading range

Past events

Date
Tuesday 5 November 2024 00:00

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. The following recent announcements may affect the market reaction to Presidential Election:

PreviousLatest
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change15.5%-1.7%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-8.8%15.5%
Michigan Consumer Expectations Index(no change)56.656.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change57.356.6
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change3.5%3.4%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.4%3.3%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change5352.3
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change52.451.2
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change52.752.3
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.9%2.7%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change4.4%1.4%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.7%3.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change2.8%2.9%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.8%3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.8%2.9%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Personal Spending(no change)0.4%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-7.4%-0.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change229K206K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change12.616.3
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.7%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.388M1.448M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.322M1.404M
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.411M1.388M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.272M1.322M
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change5.4%-1.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change6.6%-2.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.5%0.9%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.8%0.6%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change7.77.1
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBullish change7.8K10.3K
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.7%2.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change2.6%2.5%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change4.4%-8.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change232K227K
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-145B$-95B
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.4%62.5%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change48K130K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change8.4%8%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.4%4.3%
Employment Cost IndexBearish change0.8%0.7%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.2%-0.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBullish change5K6.5K

About Presidential Election

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Politics
Frequency:Irregular
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