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Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Hide description Full calendar

Most recent - Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30

-0.1%

Revised

-0.1%

Forecast

-0.7%

Actual

-0.9%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was -0.9% against a forecast of -0.7%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30

-0.7%

-0.9%

Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30

0.1%

Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30

1.3%

1.4%

Monday 17 March 2025 12:30

0.7%

0.2%

Friday 14 February 2025 13:30

-0.1%

-0.9%

Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30

0.6%

0.4%

Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30

0.5%

0.7%

Friday 15 November 2024 13:30

0.3%

0.4%

Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30

0.3%

0.4%

Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30

-0.2%

0.1%

Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30

0.3%

Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30

Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30

0.2%

0.1%

Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30

0.4%

Monday 15 April 2024 12:30

0.3%

0.7%

Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30

0.8%

0.6%

Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30

-0.1%

-0.8%

Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30

0.4%

0.6%

Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30

-0.1%

0.3%

Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30

-0.3%

-0.1%

Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30

0.3%

0.7%

Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30

0.2%

0.6%

Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30

0.4%

0.7%

Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30

0.5%

0.2%

Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30

-0.1%

0.3%

Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30

0.7%

0.4%

Friday 14 April 2023 12:30

-0.4%

-1%

Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30

-0.3%

-0.4%

Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30

1.8%

Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30

-0.8%

-1.1%

Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30

-0.1%

-0.6%

Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30

1.3%

Friday 14 October 2022 12:30

0.2%

Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30

0.3%

Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30

0.1%

Friday 15 July 2022 12:30

0.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

		Previous	Latest
Chicago PMI	Bearish change	40.5	40.4
Michigan Consumer Expectations Index	Bearish change	58.4	58.1
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bullish change	60.5	60.7
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations	Bearish change	5.1%	5%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bearish change	4.1%	4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.1%	0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.6%	2.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	(no change)	0.1%	0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.2%	2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)	Bearish change	0.7%	-0.4%
Personal Spending	Bearish change	0.2%	-0.1%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-6.3%	1.8%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)	Bullish change	3.4%	3.5%
Durable Goods Orders	Bullish change	-6.6%	16.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense	Bullish change	-7.7%	15.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bullish change	0%	0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized	Bearish change	-0.2%	-0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index	Bullish change	3.7%	3.8%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	245K	236K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bullish change	-1.4%	1.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)	Bullish change	3.6%	3.7%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	9.6%	-13.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0%	-0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.5%	0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	53	52.8
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	(no change)	52	52
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	53.7	53.1
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	(no change)	-4	-4
Fed Interest Rate Decision	(no change)	4.5%	4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st year	Bullish change	3.4%	3.6%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year	Bullish change	3.1%	3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - Current	(no change)	3.9%	3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer	(no change)	3%	3%
Building Permits (MoM)	Bearish change	1.422M	1.393M
Housing Starts (MoM)	Bearish change	1.392M	1.256M
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	250K	245K
Industrial Production (MoM)	Bearish change	0.1%	-0.2%
Retail Sales Control Group	Bullish change	-0.1%	0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)	Bearish change	0%	-0.3%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Consumption
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)
	China		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (YoY)
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (YoY)
	New Zealand		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (MoM)
	United States		Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
	United States		Retail Sales Control Group
	Australia		Westpac Consumer Confidence
	Australia		Retail Sales (QoQ)
	Canada		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	Canada		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Switzerland		Real Retail Sales (YoY)
	Germany		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Germany		Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey
	Eurozone		Consumer Confidence
	Eurozone		Retail Sales (MoM)
	Indonesia		Consumer Confidence
	Japan		Large Retailer Sales
	Japan		Retail Trade s.a (MoM)
	Japan		Retail Trade (YoY)
	New Zealand		ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
	New Zealand		Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)
	New Zealand		Westpac Consumer Survey
	United Kingdom		BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)
	United Kingdom		GfK Consumer Confidence
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Sales (YoY)
	United States		Consumer Confidence
	United States		UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations
	United States		Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
	United States		UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
	United States		Michigan Consumer Expectations Index
	United States		Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)
	United States		Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)
	United States		Personal Spending

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Retail Sales (MoM)

Most recent - Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30

Next event - Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Retail Sales (MoM) event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Related events