Retail Sales (YoY)
Next event - Friday 18 October 2024 06:00
Previous
2.5%
Forecast
3.2%
Actual
-
The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.
The consensus forecast for Retail Sales (YoY) is 3.2%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.
Most recent - Friday 20 September 2024 06:00
Previous
1.5%
Revised
1.5%
Forecast
1.4%
Actual
2.5%
Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.
Trading range
Forecast history
The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (YoY) was 2.5% against a forecast of 1.4%.
Past events
Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 20 September 2024 06:00
1.4%
2.5%
Friday 16 August 2024 06:00
1.4%
1.4%
Friday 19 July 2024 06:00
0.2%
-0.2%
Friday 21 June 2024 06:00
-0.9%
1.3%
Friday 24 May 2024 06:00
-0.2%
-2.7%
Friday 19 April 2024 06:00
-
0.8%
Friday 22 March 2024 07:00
-0.7%
-0.4%
Friday 16 February 2024 07:00
-1.4%
0.7%
Friday 19 January 2024 07:00
1.1%
-2.4%
Friday 22 December 2023 07:00
-1.3%
0.1%
Friday 17 November 2023 07:00
-1.5%
-2.7%
Friday 20 October 2023 06:00
0%
-1%
Friday 22 September 2023 06:00
-1.2%
-1.4%
Friday 18 August 2023 06:00
-2.1%
-3.2%
Friday 21 July 2023 06:00
-1.5%
-1%
Friday 23 June 2023 06:00
-2.6%
-2.1%
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
-2.8%
-3%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-3.1%
-3.1%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
-4.7%
-3.5%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
-5.5%
-5.1%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
-4.1%
-5.8%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
-5.6%
-5.9%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
-6.5%
-6.1%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-5%
-6.9%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-4.2%
-5.4%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-3.3%
-3.4%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-5.3%
-5.8%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-4.5%
-4.7%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-7.2%
-4.9%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
2.8%
0.9%
Friday 25 March 2022 07:00
7.8%
7%
Friday 18 February 2022 07:00
8.7%
9.1%
Friday 21 January 2022 07:00
3.4%
-0.9%
Friday 17 December 2021 07:00
-
4.7%
Friday 19 November 2021 07:00
-2%
-1.3%
Friday 22 October 2021 06:00
-0.4%
-1.3%
Economic context
Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (YoY) result:
| Previous | Latest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Price Index (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.3% | 0% | ||
| Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 2.2% | 1.7% | ||
| Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.6% | 3.2% | ||
| PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.a | Bearish change | 0.1% | 0% | ||
| PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a | Bullish change | 1.3% | 1.4% | ||
| Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.a | Bearish change | -0.3% | -0.5% | ||
| Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.a | Bearish change | 0.2% | -0.7% | ||
| Retail Price Index (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.6% | -0.3% | ||
| Retail Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.5% | 2.7% | ||
| Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bearish change | 5.1% | 4.9% | ||
| Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bearish change | 4% | 3.8% | ||
| Claimant Count Change | Bearish change | 23.7K | 27.9K | ||
| Claimant Count Rate | (no change) | 4.7% | 4.7% | ||
| Employment Change (3M) | Bullish change | 265K | 373K | ||
| ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) | Bullish change | 4.1% | 4% | ||
| Gross Domestic Product (MoM) | Bullish change | 0% | 0.2% | ||
| Industrial Production (MoM) | Bullish change | -0.7% | 0.5% | ||
| Manufacturing Production (MoM) | Bullish change | -1.2% | 1.1% | ||
| BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY) | Bullish change | 0.8% | 1.7% |
About Retail Sales (YoY)
| Country: | United Kingdom |
|---|---|
| Currency: | GBP |
| Source: | Office for National Statistics |
| Category: | Consumption |
| Frequency: | Monthly |
Related events
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