Retail Sales (YoY)

The retail Sales released by the National Statistics measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.

Most recent - Friday 18 October 2024 06:00

Previous
2.5%
Revised
2.3%
Forecast
3.2%
Actual
3.9%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Next event - Friday 22 November 2024 07:00

Previous
3.9%
Forecast
3.4%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for Retail Sales (YoY) is 3.4%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (YoY) was 3.9% against a forecast of 3.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 18 October 2024 06:00
3.2%
3.9%
Friday 20 September 2024 06:00
1.4%
2.5%
Friday 16 August 2024 06:00
1.4%
1.4%
Friday 19 July 2024 06:00
0.2%
-0.2%
Friday 21 June 2024 06:00
-0.9%
1.3%
Friday 24 May 2024 06:00
-0.2%
-2.7%
Friday 19 April 2024 06:00
-
0.8%
Friday 22 March 2024 07:00
-0.7%
-0.4%
Friday 16 February 2024 07:00
-1.4%
0.7%
Friday 19 January 2024 07:00
1.1%
-2.4%
Friday 22 December 2023 07:00
-1.3%
0.1%
Friday 17 November 2023 07:00
-1.5%
-2.7%
Friday 20 October 2023 06:00
0%
-1%
Friday 22 September 2023 06:00
-1.2%
-1.4%
Friday 18 August 2023 06:00
-2.1%
-3.2%
Friday 21 July 2023 06:00
-1.5%
-1%
Friday 23 June 2023 06:00
-2.6%
-2.1%
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
-2.8%
-3%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-3.1%
-3.1%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
-4.7%
-3.5%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
-5.5%
-5.1%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
-4.1%
-5.8%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
-5.6%
-5.9%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
-6.5%
-6.1%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-5%
-6.9%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-4.2%
-5.4%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-3.3%
-3.4%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-5.3%
-5.8%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-4.5%
-4.7%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-7.2%
-4.9%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
2.8%
0.9%
Friday 25 March 2022 07:00
7.8%
7%
Friday 18 February 2022 07:00
8.7%
9.1%
Friday 21 January 2022 07:00
3.4%
-0.9%
Friday 17 December 2021 07:00
-
4.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been strongly bearish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.5%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.7%1%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.5%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)Bearish change1.3%-1%
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change4.9%4.8%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bullish change3.9%4.3%
Claimant Count ChangeBearish change10.1K26.7K
Claimant Count Rate(no change)4.7%4.7%
Employment Change (3M)Bearish change373K219K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)Bearish change4%4.3%
BoE MPC Vote Rate CutBearish change18
BoE MPC Vote Rate Hike(no change)00

About Retail Sales (YoY)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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