Market Analysis

By EBC
Oil prices headed for a 1% weekly drop as markets anticipated an OPEC+ output hike; Trump’s tariffs stay after a court temporarily reinstated them.
By EBC
​EBC's Million Dollar Trading Challenge II nears its end as surprise entrants @Callie78999 and @JOO888 shake up the ranks. A final upset looms.
By EBC
With 2 days left in EBC's Challenge II, @Yiwangwuqian leads with $1.03M gold profits. @Wolaiole recovers losses; @EBC666 cut dip buy early.
By EBC
Gold prices fell amid improved risk sentiment; court ruled Trump’s tariffs exceeded authority; Chinese gold imports rose sharply.
By EBC
EBC breaks down Moody’s U.S. downgrade, revealing deeper market shifts and what traders should watch in bonds, the dollar, and global flows.
By EBC
Wall Street climbs on tariff easing and improved confidence; Nasdaq leads with Nvidia up 3.2%. Market closely watches Nvidia earnings report release.
By EBC
With 3 days left, @EBC666 leads, @Yiwangwuqian shifts to US indices, and @Wolaiole climbs third in EBC’s trading challenge.
By EBC
The Swiss franc was steady Wednesday despite improved US inflation, while US protectionism may continue to weaken the dollar long-term.
By EBC
EBC’s Million Dollar Trading Challenge Week 12 taught key lessons on bold moves, discipline, diversification, community power, and rising new talent.
By EBC
4 days left in EBC's trading challenge as key players withdraw. Upcoming Nvidia earnings and PCE data may shake up the leaderboard.
By EBC
The euro neared late-April highs Tuesday as the EU agreed to speed up talks to avoid a trade war, with members urging calm as deadline nears.
By EBC
EBC partners with Brokeree to transform copy trading into an educational, tech-driven journey, empowering global traders with tools, insights, and webinars.
Currencies Dance, Markets Move: May 27, 2025 Global financial markets on May 27, 2025, are navigating a complex landscape of US fiscal concerns, central bank policy divergence, and geopolitical tensions. The US Dollar (DXY at 98.80) remains under pressure near a one-month low due to fears surrounding Trump’s $3.8T tax bill and a Moody’s credit downgrade, lifting AUD/USD to 0.6490 and GBP/USD to a 39-month high near 1.3570. Strong Japanese inflation data (Services PPI at 3.1%) and hawkish BoJ signals propel the Yen, pushing USD/JPY to a one-month low of 142.38. WTI crude steadies at $61.25 amid OPEC+ output concerns, while gold holds at $3,340 and silver at $33.20, supported by safe-haven demand. Key US data releases, including Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence, and upcoming FOMC minutes, alongside the RBNZ rate decision, will drive market volatility. Australian Dollar Subdued Near 0.6490 Current Level: AUD/USD trades near 0.6490, down 0.1%, after hitting a six-month high of 0.6537. Market Dynamics: China’s Industrial Profits rose 3% YoY in April, up from 2.6%, supporting AUD due to strong trade ties, but RBA’s dovish stance (25 bps cut to 3.85%) caps gains. USD weakens (DXY at 98.80) amid US fiscal concerns (Trump’s $3.8T tax bill) and Moody’s Aa1 downgrade. US-EU tariff delay (July 9) and US-China trade truce bolster risk sentiment. US Durable Goods Orders and Consumer Confidence (today) are key, with Australia-China Darwin Port tensions adding volatility. Technical Outlook: Resistance at 0.6537; support at 0.6456 (9-day EMA). Bullish RSI above 50 favors upside to 0.6687. GBP/USD Near 39-Month High at 1.3570 Current Level: GBP/USD trades near 1.3570, up 0.1%, close to a 39-month high of 1.3593. Key Drivers: Hot UK CPI (3.5% YoY) and Retail Sales reduce BoE rate-cut bets (38 bps in 2025), lifting GBP. USD weakens due to US fiscal deficit fears and US-EU tariff delay (July 9). FOMC minutes (Wednesday) and US PCE Price Index (Friday) will shape Fed rate-cut expectations (74% chance for September). BoE’s June meeting remains critical. Technical Outlook: Resistance at 1.3632; support at 1.3451. Bullish RSI above 60 targets 1.3723, per X posts. Japanese Yen Hits Monthly High Current Level: USD/JPY trades near 142.38, down 0.3%, a one-month low. Market Dynamics: Japan’s Services PPI rose 3.1% YoY, reinforcing BoJ rate-hike bets (Ueda’s 2% target focus), boosting JPY. Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine, Gaza) and US-Japan trade optimism enhance safe-haven demand. USD slumps on fiscal concerns (Moody’s projects 134% debt-to-GDP by 2035) and dovish Fed signals. Tokyo CPI (Friday) and US data (Durable Goods, PCE) are pivotal. Technical Outlook: Support at 142.00; resistance at 143.00. Bearish RSI below 50 eyes 141.00. NZD/USD Nears 0.6000 Current Level: NZD/USD trades near 0.6000, up 0.2%. Key Drivers: USD weakness and US-EU trade truce support NZD, but RBNZ’s expected 25 bps cut to 3.25% (Wednesday) may cap gains. US fiscal concerns (Trump’s tax bill) and Fed caution (Kashkari’s stagflation warning) pressure USD. US Consumer Confidence and Durable Goods Orders (today) will influence sentiment, with RBNZ’s OCR outlook critical. Technical Outlook: Resistance at 0.6050; support at 0.5950. Bullish RSI above 50 suggests upside potential. WTI Crude Steady at $61.25 Current Level: WTI crude trades near $61.25, flat. Market Dynamics: US-EU tariff delay and Gaza tensions support WTI, but OPEC+ output hike concerns (+411,000 bpd for July) and US-Iran nuclear talk progress cap gains. EIA inventory build (+1.328M barrels) adds bearish pressure. OPEC+ meeting (May 31) and US Durable Goods Orders (today) are key. Fed’s cautious stance impacts USD and oil. Technical Outlook: Resistance at $62.00; support at $60.00. Neutral RSI near 50 awaits OPEC+ clarity. Gold Holds at $3,340 Current Level: Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $3,340, up 0.2%. Key Drivers: US fiscal concerns (Moody’s downgrade) and geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine, Gaza) support safe-haven demand, offsetting US-EU trade optimism. Fed rate-cut bets and USD weakness bolster XAU/USD. FOMC minutes and US PCE data will drive direction, with Chinese gold purchases as a tailwind. Technical Outlook: Resistance at $3,346; support at $3,260. Bullish RSI above 50 eyes $3,400. Economic Data and Policy Focus Today’s Data: US Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence, and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index will influence USD. FOMC minutes (Wednesday), US Prelim Q1 GDP (Thursday), and PCE Price Index (Friday) are critical for Fed rate-cut timing. Tokyo CPI (Friday) will shape BoJ expectations. RBNZ’s rate decision (Wednesday) is key for NZD. Geopolitical Developments: Russia’s drone attack on Ukraine and Gaza strikes (38 killed) boost safe-haven JPY, gold, and silver. US-Iran nuclear talks show tentative progress, impacting WTI. US Fiscal Concerns: Trump’s $3.8T tax bill, pending Senate vote, raises deficit fears (Moody’s projects 9% GDP deficit by 2035). Fed officials (Kashkari, Goolsbee) highlight stagflation risks. US-China Trade Deal and Geopolitical Risks Trade Status: US-EU tariff delay (July 9) and US-Japan trade talks (G7 target) ease tensions. US-China truce faces strain from Huawei chip restrictions, with China’s 3% industrial profit growth signaling resilience. Australia-China Darwin Port lease tensions add AUD volatility. Geopolitical Tensions: Russia-Ukraine war escalation, Gaza operations, and US-Iran talk uncertainties drive safe-haven flows. Outlook On May 27, 2025, USD weakness (DXY at 98.80) lifts AUD/USD (0.6490), GBP/USD (1.3570), and NZD/USD (0.6000), while pressuring USD/JPY (142.38). WTI ($61.25) steadies, with gold ($3,340) and silver ($33.20) supported by safe-haven demand. US data, FOMC minutes, and RBNZ’s rate decision will drive volatility, with US fiscal concerns and geopolitical risks in focus. Stay tuned for further updates.
By Octa
- EUR/JPY trades firmly as the Euro gains on diminished trade tensions between the EU and the US. - US President Trump suspended 50% of EU tariffs until July 9. - The Japanese Yen underperforms despite hot Japan National CPI data for April.
By Octa
- The Mexican Peso keeps firm against the USD Dollar, marking a fresh year-to-date high. - US markets remain closed for Memorial Day, with low liquidity expected throughout the day. - USD/MXN faces renewed pressure, testing 19.20 as focus shifts to Friday’s US PCE print.
By Octa
- USD/CAD trades around 1.3720 ahead of the American session on Monday. - US President Trump steps back from EU tariff threat, extends deadline to July 9. - DXY index slips to four-week low before stabilizing on easing geopolitical risk.
While US and European equity futures have opened on a firmer footing - thanks to yet another U-turn on tariffs from the Trump camp, broad participation will take time to build with Memorial Day in the US and the May Bank holiday in the UK, with the interest set to build as we head towards Nvidia’s earnings (Wednesday), US consumer confidence and inflation reads in the US (core PCE) and Australia.
The Crypto Market cap rose by 6.5% from last week’s level to $3.43 trillion. However, since Friday, the market has taken a pause and moved further sideways, falling to $3.35—the upper boundary of the previous resistance.
By EBC
US stocks fell Friday after a strong rally, as focus shifted to tax and spending plans that may further increase federal debt.
The European currency is showing a noticeable rise in the EUR/USD pair, developing the strong "bullish" momentum formed at the end of last week. The single currency is testing 1.1410 for a breakout, updating local highs from late April.
By Naga
Markets are looking heavy this week, with signs pointing to a potential breakdown. Gold pushed higher off key support, while the Yen gained strength. Silver is benefiting from Dollar weakness rather than real demand.
Global financial markets on May 26, 2025, are driven by US fiscal concerns, central bank policy divergence, and easing trade tensions. The US Dollar (DXY at 99.70) hits a one-month low amid deficit fears from Trump’s $4T tax bill, lifting GBP/USD to a multi-year high above 1.3550 and pressuring USD/CAD below 1.3700. Japanese Yen strengthens (USD/JPY near 142.70) on BoJ rate-hike bets and US-Japan trade optimism. WTI crude holds above $61.50, while gold dips to $3,335 on reduced trade war fears. US Durable Goods Orders and FOMC minutes are key this week. Gold Dips to $3,335 Current Level: Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $3,335, down 0.4%. Market Dynamics: Easing US-EU trade fears (tariff delay) reduce safe-haven demand, pressuring gold. US fiscal concerns (Moody’s downgrade) and Fed rate-cut bets support XAU/USD. Russia-Ukraine escalation and Gaza tensions limit losses. FOMC minutes and US PCE data are key, with Chinese gold purchases as a tailwind. Technical Outlook: Support at $3,260; resistance at $3,346. Bullish RSI above 50 favors upside to $3,400. Japanese Yen Hits Monthly High Current Level: USD/JPY trades near 142.70, down 0.2%, with JPY at a monthly high. Market Dynamics: Hot Japanese CPI (3.6% YoY) and BoJ rate-hike bets (Uchida’s hawkish stance) bolster JPY. US-Japan trade deal hopes (Ishiba’s G7 target) and geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine, Gaza) enhance safe-haven demand. USD weakens due to US fiscal concerns (Moody’s Aa1 downgrade) and dovish Fed expectations (two cuts in 2025). Tokyo CPI (Friday) and G7 trade talks are focal points. Technical Outlook: Support at 142.00; resistance at 143.10. Bearish RSI below 50 favors downside to 141.00. GBP/USD Soars Above 1.3550 Current Level: GBP/USD trades near 1.3560, a February 2022 high, up 0.3%. Key Drivers: Strong UK Retail Sales and hot April CPI (3.5% YoY) reduce BoE rate-cut bets, boosting GBP. USD weakens amid US deficit fears ($4T tax bill) and Fed rate-cut expectations (74% chance for September). FOMC minutes (Wednesday) and US PCE Price Index (Friday) will shape USD sentiment, with BoE’s June meeting in focus. Technical Outlook: Resistance at 1.3632; support at 1.3451. Bullish RSI above 60 signals momentum, with 1.3723 as a target USD/CAD Drops Below 1.3700 Current Level: USD/CAD trades near 1.3690, a YTD low, down 0.3%. Market Dynamics: USD selling persists due to US fiscal concerns and dovish Fed signals. Hot Canadian CPI reduces BoC June rate-cut odds, supporting CAD despite softer WTI ($61.50). Canadian Retail Sales (today) and US Durable Goods Orders (Tuesday) are key. Easing US-EU trade tensions (tariff delay to July 9) add CAD support. Technical Outlook: Support at 1.3600; resistance at 1.3800. Bearish RSI below 50 suggests further downside to 1.3500. WTI Crude Above $61.50 Current Level: WTI crude trades near $61.50, up 0.2%. Market Dynamics: Easing US-EU trade tensions (tariff delay to July 9) and Gaza escalation fears support WTI. OPEC+ output hike concerns (+411,000 bpd for July) and EIA inventory build (+1.328M barrels) cap gains. US-Iran nuclear talks (limited progress) sustain supply risks. US Durable Goods Orders and FOMC minutes will influence USD and oil. Technical Outlook: Resistance at $62.00; support at $60.00. RSI above 50 suggests cautious bullishness, per Reuters. EUR/USD Holds Above 1.1300 Current Level: EUR/USD trades near 1.1315, up 0.1%. Key Drivers: USD weakness and lower Treasury yields (30-year at 5.03%) lift EUR, despite weak Eurozone PMI (Composite 49.5). German Q1 GDP (flat) and ECB’s dovish signals (Vujčić’s 2% target by 2026) cap gains. Trump’s EU tariff delay (July 9) reduces trade war fears, supporting EUR. FOMC minutes and US PCE data will drive direction. Technical Outlook: Resistance at 1.1425; support at 1.1200. RSI near 57 maintains bullish bias, with US data critical. Economic Data and Policy Focus Today’s Data: Canadian Retail Sales and US Durable Goods Orders (Tuesday) kick off a data-heavy week. US Prelim GDP (Thursday), PCE Price Index (Friday), and FOMC minutes (Wednesday) will shape Fed rate-cut expectations (74% chance for September). Tokyo CPI (Friday) will influence BoJ rate-hike bets. Geopolitical Developments: Russia’s massive Ukraine attack and Gaza strikes (38 killed) boost safe-haven JPY, gold, and silver. US-Iran nuclear talk uncertainties and US sanctions threats add volatility. US Fiscal Concerns: Trump’s $4T tax bill, passed by the House, awaits Senate approval, raising deficit fears (Moody’s projects 134% debt-to-GDP by 2035). US-China Trade Deal and Geopolitical Risks Trade Status: US-EU tariff delay (July 9) and US-Japan trade optimism (Ishiba’s G7 goal) ease trade war fears. US-China truce (US: 30%, China: 10%) faces strain from Huawei chip restrictions, with China’s Li Qiang signaling new policy tools, including “unconventional measures.” Geopolitical Tensions: Russia-Ukraine escalation, Gaza operations, and US-Iran talk uncertainties drive safe-haven flows. Outlook On May 26, 2025, USD weakness (DXY at 99.70) lifts GBP/USD (1.3560) and EUR/USD (1.1315), while pressuring USD/CAD (1.3690) and USD/JPY (142.70). WTI ($61.50) gains on geopolitical risks, but gold ($3,335) dips on trade optimism. Silver ($33.15) holds steady. US data (Durable Goods, GDP, PCE), FOMC minutes, and Tokyo CPI will drive volatility, with US fiscal concerns and geopolitical tensions in focus. Stay tuned for further updates.
By EBC
With 5 days left in EBC’s Million Dollar Trading Challenge II, top traders like @Yiwangwuqian and @forexwatchbrother post big gains as race tightens.
By EBC
EBC Trading Challenge heats up: @Yiwangwuqian hits $1.01M, @forexwatchbrother nears $700K, and @EBC666 returns 87x with one big trade.
By EBC
The yen rose on Friday, set for a 1.4% weekly gain, as Japan's core inflation hit its fastest pace in over two years, boosting rate hike hopes.
By EBC
Gold may shine in 2025, but volatility looms. Joe DiNapoli joins EBC to unpack price swings, equity risks, and why $10,000 gold remains unlikely.
By EBC
Gold rose to $3,340 in EBC’s trading challenge. @Yiwangwuqian hit $680K profit, @tradingLP678 earned $200K, and @Justone eyes the top spot.
By EBC
Oil prices fell as US crude inventories rose unexpectedly, raising demand fears, while Iran nuclear talks renewed. Benchmark down 13% this year.
Every year on May 22, the cryptocurrency community commemorates a unique and historic event known as Bitcoin Pizza Day. While it might sound casual or even humorous, this day marks one of the most significant moments in the history of Bitcoin and digital currencies: a moment that symbolizes Bitcoin's transition from a niche experiment to a tangible medium of exchange.
Gold prices surged nearly 2% on Tuesday as safe-haven demand returned amid a weaker US dollar and ongoing geopolitical tension. Spot gold ended the day up 1.84% at $3,289.98 per ounce. Oil prices, meanwhile, closed slightly lower as market uncertainty lingered.
Platinum: ⬆️ Buy – Platinum broke the resistance level 1005.00 – Likely to rise to resistance level 1080.00
GBPUSD traded up to fresh highs for the year today on the back of the latest UK economic data this morning. Annualised headline CPI was seen jumping to 3.5% from 2.6% prior, above the 3.3% the market was looking for.
By Octa
- AUD/USD rises at the expense of the US Dollar, which is down due to the US credit rating downgrade. - US Republicans didn’t pass President Trump’s new tax bill. - The RBA lowered its OCR by 25 bps to 3.85% and kept hopes of more interest rate cuts on the table.
By EBC
Gold prices rose to a one-week high Wednesday as US fiscal uncertainty boosted safe-haven demand. Trump pressures Republicans to back his budget plan.
By EBC
Gold jumped above $3,300 as Trump’s budget hit GOP pushback. @Yiwangwuqian stayed steady; newcomer @12Emery hit third with a 22x return.
By EBC
Top traders showed discipline, seized gold reversals, and broke out with bold momentum plays in Week 11 of EBC’s Million Dollar Trading Challenge.
Global financial markets on May 20, 2025, are driven by central bank actions and geopolitical developments, with focus on the RBA’s press conference post-rate cut, PBoC’s LPR reduction, and potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks.
By EBC
EBC Million Dollar Trading Challenge II enters final phase with top traders cautious, while third place ramps up trades, intensifying competition.
US Equity Positioning and Key Levels FICC and Equities 19 May 2025 | Consolidated Recap of GS Positioning Metrics
The week of May 19–23 promises to be pivotal for global markets. In the U.S., investors will closely watch PMI data and speeches from key Federal Reserve officials for clues on the future path of interest rates—especially after April’s persistent inflation and the easing of recession fears following a surprising U.S.-China trade truce. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate decision, along with economic reports from China, Canada, and Japan, will provide regional direction. In the UK, inflation and retail sales could reshape expectations for further Bank of England cuts, while eurozone PMIs will test the ECB’s cautious stance.
By EBC
The pound trimmed gains Tuesday after Britain and the EU agreed on a major trade and defense deal; the weak dollar eyed trade talks.
By EBC
EBC says cooling US CPI could shift Fed policy, stirring FX volatility—traders must focus on interpretation, not just the headline figure.
Daily Market Outlook, May 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill Group Munnelly’s Macro Minute…
By EBC
​EBC's Million Dollar Trading Challenge heats up as @Yiwangwuqian leads with \$620K, while @forexwatchbrother closes in fast. Final showdown nears!
By EBC
On May 19, the dollar eased in early Asian trade as markets reacted to weakened US assets; April retail sales showed fading pre-tariff buying momentum.
US statistics produced a shocking dive in producer prices, with everyone guessing how strong the upward spurt might be. Producer prices for April fell 0.5% after 0.0% a month earlier. March’s value was heavily revised upward from -0.4%.
By Naga
Markets wrapped up the week with a cautious but upbeat vibe. Traders saw a mix of signals — inflation worries stuck around, but so did signs of global stability. The result? A market mood that’s leaning more hopeful than fearful.
By Octa
- AUD/USD stays above the key support level of 0.6400, while the US Dollar trades with caution - The RBA is expected to lower its OCR by 25 bps to 3.85% on Tuesday. - Investors await the preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index data for May.
By EBC
European shares closed higher Thursday, led by industrials. Despite the new trade truce, uncertainty still clouds European firms' outlook.
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