Retail Sales (MoM)

The retail Sales released by the National Statistics measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.

Most recent - Friday 20 December 2024 07:00

Previous
-0.7%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.5%
Actual
0.2%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/GBP pairs and bearish for GBP/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 17 January 2025 07:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 0.2% against a forecast of 0.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 20 December 2024 07:00
0.5%
0.2%
Friday 22 November 2024 07:00
-0.3%
-0.7%
Friday 18 October 2024 06:00
-0.3%
0.3%
Friday 20 September 2024 06:00
0.4%
1%
Friday 16 August 2024 06:00
0.5%
0.5%
Friday 19 July 2024 06:00
-0.4%
-1.2%
Friday 21 June 2024 06:00
1.5%
2.9%
Friday 24 May 2024 06:00
-0.4%
-2.3%
Friday 19 April 2024 06:00
0.3%
0%
Friday 22 March 2024 07:00
-0.3%
0%
Friday 16 February 2024 07:00
1.5%
3.4%
Friday 19 January 2024 07:00
-0.5%
-3.2%
Friday 22 December 2023 07:00
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 17 November 2023 07:00
0.3%
-0.3%
Friday 20 October 2023 06:00
-0.1%
-0.9%
Friday 22 September 2023 06:00
0.5%
0.4%
Friday 18 August 2023 06:00
-0.5%
-1.2%
Friday 21 July 2023 06:00
0.2%
0.7%
Friday 23 June 2023 06:00
-0.2%
0.3%
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
0.3%
0.5%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-0.5%
-0.9%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
0.2%
1.2%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
-0.3%
0.5%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
0.5%
-1%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
0.3%
-0.4%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
0%
0.6%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-0.5%
-1.4%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-0.5%
-1.6%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-0.2%
0.3%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-0.3%
-0.1%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-0.7%
-0.5%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-0.2%
1.4%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
-0.3%
-1.4%
Friday 25 March 2022 07:00
0.6%
-0.3%
Friday 18 February 2022 07:00
1%
1.9%
Friday 21 January 2022 07:00
-0.6%
-3.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change2%0.5%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bullish change-0.9%0.3%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change1.6%0.1%
BoE MPC Vote Rate CutBullish change83
BoE MPC Vote Rate Hike(no change)00
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.6%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.3%3.5%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0.2%0%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a (no change)1.6%1.6%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change-0.1%0.3%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBullish change-0.9%-0.6%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.1%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.6%
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bullish change4.9%5.2%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bullish change4.4%5.2%
Claimant Count ChangeBearish change-10.9K0.3K
Claimant Count Rate(no change)4.6%4.6%
Employment Change (3M)Bearish change253K173K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)(no change)4.3%4.3%
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI(no change)50.550.5
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBearish change4847.3
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBullish change50.851.4
Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change2.7%3%
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)(no change)-0.1%-0.1%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change-0.5%-0.6%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)Bullish change-1%-0.6%
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-18-17

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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