Retail Trade (YoY)
Most recent - Thursday 26 June 2025 23:50
Previous
3.5%
Revised
3.5%
Forecast
2.7%
Actual
2.2%
Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/JPY pairs and bearish for JPY/xxx pairs.
Next event - Wednesday 30 July 2025 23:50
Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-
The typical/expected impact on JPY pairs is medium.
There is no forecast value for Retail Trade (YoY) yet - check back for updates.
Trading range
Forecast history
The most recent announced value for Retail Trade (YoY) was 2.2% against a forecast of 2.7%.
Past events
Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 26 June 2025 23:50
2.7%
2.2%
Thursday 29 May 2025 23:50
3.1%
3.3%
Tuesday 29 April 2025 23:50
3.5%
3.1%
Sunday 30 March 2025 23:50
2%
1.4%
Thursday 27 February 2025 23:50
4%
3.9%
Thursday 30 January 2025 23:50
3.2%
3.7%
Thursday 26 December 2024 23:50
1.7%
2.8%
Thursday 28 November 2024 23:50
2.2%
1.6%
Wednesday 30 October 2024 23:50
2.3%
0.5%
Sunday 29 September 2024 23:50
2.3%
2.8%
Thursday 29 August 2024 23:50
2.9%
2.6%
Tuesday 30 July 2024 23:50
3.3%
3.7%
Wednesday 26 June 2024 23:50
2%
3%
Thursday 30 May 2024 23:50
1.9%
2.4%
Monday 29 April 2024 23:50
2.5%
1.2%
Thursday 28 March 2024 23:50
3%
4.6%
Wednesday 28 February 2024 23:50
2.3%
2.3%
Tuesday 30 January 2024 23:50
4.7%
2.1%
Wednesday 27 December 2023 23:50
5%
5.3%
Wednesday 29 November 2023 23:50
5.9%
4.2%
Monday 30 October 2023 23:50
5.9%
5.8%
Thursday 28 September 2023 23:50
6.6%
7%
Wednesday 30 August 2023 23:50
5.4%
6.8%
Sunday 30 July 2023 23:50
5.9%
5.9%
Wednesday 28 June 2023 23:50
5.4%
5.7%
Tuesday 30 May 2023 23:50
7%
5%
Thursday 27 April 2023 23:50
5.8%
7.2%
Thursday 30 March 2023 23:50
5.8%
6.6%
Monday 27 February 2023 23:50
4%
6.3%
Monday 30 January 2023 23:50
3%
3.8%
Monday 26 December 2022 23:50
2.8%
2.6%
Monday 28 November 2022 23:50
5%
4.3%
Sunday 30 October 2022 23:50
4.1%
4.5%
Thursday 29 September 2022 23:50
2.8%
4.1%
Tuesday 30 August 2022 23:50
1.9%
2.4%
Thursday 28 July 2022 23:50
2.8%
1.5%
Economic context
Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for JPY. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Trade (YoY) result:
| Previous | Latest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tankan Large All Industry Capex | Bullish change | 3.1% | 11.5% | ||
| Tankan Large Manufacturing Index | Bullish change | 12 | 13 | ||
| Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook | (no change) | 12 | 12 | ||
| Large Retailer Sales | Bearish change | 3.3% | 2% | ||
| Retail Trade s.a (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.7% | -0.2% | ||
| Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.4% | 3.1% | ||
| Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.3% | 3.1% | ||
| Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.6% | 3.1% | ||
| Unemployment Rate | (no change) | 2.5% | 2.5% | ||
| National Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.6% | 3.5% | ||
| National CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) | Bullish change | 3% | 3.3% | ||
| National CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) | Bullish change | 3.5% | 3.7% | ||
| Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance | Bullish change | ¥-408.91B | ¥-305.5B | ||
| Exports (YoY) | Bearish change | 2% | -1.7% | ||
| Imports (YoY) | Bearish change | -2.2% | -7.7% | ||
| Merchandise Trade Balance Total | Bearish change | ¥-115.6B | ¥-637.6B |
About Retail Trade (YoY)
| Country: | Japan |
|---|---|
| Currency: | JPY |
| Source: | Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan |
| Category: | Consumption |
| Frequency: | Monthly |
Related events
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