Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)

Price changes may cause consumers to switch from buying one good to another and the PCE Deflator has the ability to account for such substitutions. This makes it the preferred measure of inflation for the Federal Reserve and it's released by the Commerce Department.

Most recent - Friday 20 December 2024 13:30

Previous
2.3%
Revised
-
Forecast
2.5%
Actual
2.4%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) was 2.4% against a forecast of 2.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 20 December 2024 13:30
2.5%
2.4%
Wednesday 27 November 2024 15:00
2.3%
2.3%
Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30
2.1%
2.1%
Friday 27 September 2024 12:30
2.3%
2.2%
Friday 30 August 2024 12:30
2.6%
2.5%
Friday 26 July 2024 12:30
2.5%
2.5%
Friday 28 June 2024 12:30
2.6%
2.6%
Friday 31 May 2024 12:30
2.7%
2.7%
Friday 26 April 2024 12:30
2.6%
2.7%
Friday 29 March 2024 12:30
2.5%
2.5%
Thursday 29 February 2024 13:30
2.4%
2.4%
Friday 26 January 2024 13:30
2.6%
2.6%
Friday 22 December 2023 13:30
2.8%
2.6%
Thursday 30 November 2023 13:30
3%
3%
Friday 27 October 2023 12:30
3.4%
3.4%
Friday 29 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.5%
Thursday 31 August 2023 12:30
3.3%
3.3%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
3.1%
3%
Friday 30 June 2023 12:30
4.6%
3.8%
Friday 26 May 2023 12:30
3.9%
4.4%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
4.6%
4.2%
Friday 31 March 2023 12:30
5.3%
5%
Friday 24 February 2023 13:30
4.9%
5.4%
Friday 27 January 2023 13:30
-
5%
Friday 23 December 2022 13:30
5.3%
5.5%
Thursday 1 December 2022 13:30
6.2%
6%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:30
5.8%
6.2%
Friday 30 September 2022 12:30
6.6%
6.2%
Friday 26 August 2022 12:30
7.4%
6.3%
Friday 29 July 2022 12:30
6.7%
6.8%
Thursday 30 June 2022 12:30
-
6.3%
Friday 27 May 2022 12:30
6.6%
6.3%
Friday 29 April 2022 12:30
6.5%
6.6%
Thursday 31 March 2022 12:30
6.7%
6.4%
Friday 25 February 2022 13:30
5.5%
6.1%
Friday 28 January 2022 13:30
6.1%
5.8%
Thursday 23 December 2021 13:30
5.6%
5.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index(no change)7474
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.1%3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change3.4%4.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change242K220K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change-5.5-16.4
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change2.1%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change2.8%3.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)1.9%1.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.5%1.5%
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change4.75%4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change2.9%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBullish change2.9%3.1%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)4.4%4.4%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.9%3%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.419M1.505M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.312M1.289M
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.4%-0.1%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.5%0.7%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.1%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.956.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change49.748.3
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change56.158.5
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change31.20.2
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change225K242K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.1%3.4%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$-257B$-367B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.6%2.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)3.3%3.3%
Nonfarm Productivity(no change)2.2%2.2%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change1.9%0.8%

About Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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