Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)

The Bank of England is tasked with keeping inflation, as measured by the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at around 2%, giving the monthly release its importance. An increase in inflation implies a quicker and sooner increase of interest rates or the reduction of bond-buying by the BOE, which means squeezing the supply of pounds. Conversely, a drop in the pace of price rises indicates looser monetary policy. A higher-than-expected result tends to be GBP bullish.

Most recent - Wednesday 17 July 2024 06:00

Previous
3.5%
Forecast
3.5%
Actual
3.5%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) was 3.5% against a forecast of 3.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 17 July 2024 06:00
3.5%
3.5%
Wednesday 19 June 2024 06:00
3.5%
3.5%
Wednesday 22 May 2024 06:00
3.6%
3.9%
Wednesday 17 April 2024 06:00
4.1%
4.2%
Wednesday 20 March 2024 07:00
4.6%
4.5%
Wednesday 14 February 2024 07:00
5.2%
5.1%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 07:00
4.9%
5.1%
Wednesday 20 December 2023 07:00
5.6%
5.1%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 07:00
5.8%
5.7%
Wednesday 18 October 2023 06:00
6%
6.1%
Wednesday 20 September 2023 06:00
6.8%
6.2%
Wednesday 16 August 2023 06:00
6.8%
6.9%
Wednesday 19 July 2023 06:00
7.1%
6.9%
Wednesday 21 June 2023 06:00
6.8%
7.1%
Wednesday 24 May 2023 06:00
6.2%
6.8%
Wednesday 19 April 2023 06:00
6%
6.2%
Wednesday 22 March 2023 07:00
5.8%
6.2%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 07:00
6.2%
5.8%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 07:00
6.6%
6.3%
Wednesday 14 December 2022 07:00
6.5%
6.3%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 07:00
6.4%
6.5%
Wednesday 19 October 2022 06:00
6.4%
6.5%
Wednesday 14 September 2022 06:00
6.3%
6.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 06:00
5.9%
6.2%
Wednesday 20 July 2022 06:00
5.8%
5.8%
Wednesday 22 June 2022 06:00
6%
5.9%
Wednesday 18 May 2022 06:00
6.2%
6.2%
Wednesday 13 April 2022 06:00
5.4%
5.7%
Wednesday 23 March 2022 07:00
5%
5.2%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 07:00
4.3%
4.4%
Wednesday 19 January 2022 07:00
3.9%
4.2%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 07:00
3.7%
4%
Wednesday 17 November 2021 07:00
3%
3.4%
Wednesday 20 October 2021 06:00
3%
2.9%
Wednesday 15 September 2021 06:00
2.9%
3.1%
Wednesday 18 August 2021 06:00
2.2%
1.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change2.9%-1.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.7%-0.2%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bearish change2.9%-1.5%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change1.6%-0.8%
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-14-13
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change6%5.7%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change5.9%5.7%
Claimant Count ChangeBullish change51.9K32.3K
Claimant Count RateBearish change4.3%4.4%
Employment ChangeBullish change-140K19K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)(no change)4.4%4.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)2%2%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0.2%0.1%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bullish change1%1.1%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0%-0.3%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBearish change1.7%1.4%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.9%
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)Bullish change0%0.4%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.9%0.2%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)Bullish change-1.6%0.4%
BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change0.4%-0.5%

About Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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