Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

HICP is an index of consumer prices calculated and published by Destatis, the Statistical Office of the European Union, on the basis of a statistical methodology that has been harmonized across all EU member states. HICP is a measure of prices used by Governing Council of EU to define and assess price stability in the euro area as a whole in quantitative terms.

Most recent - Wednesday 30 October 2024 13:00

Previous
1.8%
Forecast
2.1%
Actual
2.4%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for EUR/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/EUR pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 12 November 2024 07:00

Previous
2.4%
Forecast
2.4%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on EUR pairs is high.

The consensus forecast for Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) is 2.4%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for EUR/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/EUR pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) was 2.4% against a forecast of 2.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 30 October 2024 13:00
2.1%
2.4%
Friday 11 October 2024 06:00
1.8%
1.8%
Monday 30 September 2024 12:00
1.9%
1.8%
Tuesday 10 September 2024 06:00
2%
2%
Thursday 29 August 2024 12:00
2.3%
2%
Friday 9 August 2024 06:00
2.6%
2.6%
Tuesday 30 July 2024 12:00
2.4%
2.6%
Thursday 11 July 2024 06:00
2.5%
2.5%
Monday 1 July 2024 12:00
2.6%
2.5%
Wednesday 12 June 2024 06:00
2.8%
2.8%
Wednesday 29 May 2024 12:00
2.7%
2.8%
Tuesday 14 May 2024 06:00
2.4%
2.4%
Monday 29 April 2024 12:00
2.3%
2.4%
Friday 12 April 2024 06:00
2.3%
2.3%
Tuesday 2 April 2024 12:00
2.4%
2.3%
Tuesday 12 March 2024 07:00
2.7%
2.7%
Thursday 29 February 2024 13:00
2.7%
2.7%
Friday 9 February 2024 07:00
3.1%
3.1%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:00
3.2%
3.1%
Tuesday 16 January 2024 07:00
3.8%
3.8%
Thursday 4 January 2024 13:00
3.8%
3.8%
Friday 8 December 2023 07:00
2.3%
2.3%
Wednesday 29 November 2023 13:00
2.7%
2.3%
Wednesday 8 November 2023 07:00
3%
3%
Monday 30 October 2023 13:00
3.6%
3%
Wednesday 11 October 2023 06:00
4.3%
4.3%
Thursday 28 September 2023 12:00
4.5%
4.3%
Friday 8 September 2023 06:00
6.4%
6.4%
Wednesday 30 August 2023 12:00
6.2%
6.4%
Tuesday 8 August 2023 06:00
6.5%
6.5%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:00
6.6%
6.5%
Tuesday 11 July 2023 06:00
6.8%
6.8%
Thursday 29 June 2023 12:00
6.7%
6.8%
Tuesday 13 June 2023 06:00
6.3%
6.3%
Wednesday 31 May 2023 12:00
6.8%
6.3%
Wednesday 10 May 2023 06:00
7.6%
7.6%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:00
7.8%
7.6%
Thursday 13 April 2023 06:00
7.8%
7.8%
Thursday 30 March 2023 12:00
7.5%
7.8%
Friday 10 March 2023 07:00
9.3%
9.3%
Wednesday 1 March 2023 13:00
9%
9.3%
Wednesday 22 February 2023 07:00
9.2%
9.2%
Thursday 9 February 2023 07:00
10%
9.2%
Tuesday 17 January 2023 07:00
9.6%
9.6%
Tuesday 3 January 2023 13:00
10.7%
9.6%
Tuesday 13 December 2022 07:00
11.3%
11.3%
Tuesday 29 November 2022 13:00
11.3%
11.3%
Friday 11 November 2022 07:00
11.6%
11.6%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:00
10.9%
11.6%
Thursday 13 October 2022 06:00
10.9%
10.9%
Thursday 29 September 2022 12:00
10%
10.9%
Tuesday 13 September 2022 06:00
8.8%
8.8%
Tuesday 30 August 2022 12:00
8.8%
8.8%
Wednesday 10 August 2022 06:00
8.5%
8.5%
Thursday 28 July 2022 12:00
8.1%
8.5%
Wednesday 13 July 2022 06:00
8.2%
8.2%
Wednesday 29 June 2022 12:00
8.8%
8.2%
Tuesday 14 June 2022 06:00
8.7%
8.7%
Monday 30 May 2022 12:00
8%
8.7%
Wednesday 11 May 2022 06:00
7.8%
7.8%
Thursday 28 April 2022 12:00
7.6%
7.8%
Tuesday 12 April 2022 06:00
7.6%
7.6%
Wednesday 30 March 2022 12:00
6.7%
7.6%
Friday 11 March 2022 07:00
5.5%
5.5%
Tuesday 1 March 2022 13:00
5.4%
5.5%
Friday 11 February 2022 07:00
5.1%
5.1%
Monday 31 January 2022 13:00
4.7%
5.1%
Wednesday 19 January 2022 07:00
5.7%
5.7%
Thursday 6 January 2022 13:00
5.7%
5.7%
Friday 10 December 2021 07:00
6%
6%
Monday 29 November 2021 13:00
5.4%
6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.1%0.5%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.9%
30-y Bond AuctionBullish change3.853%3.877%
Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY)Bearish change-3%-4.6%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bearish change2.6%-2.5%
Trade Balance s.a.Bearish change€22.5B€17B
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.6%-0.6%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change-2.3%-3.4%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change49.750
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change48.448.6
HCOB Services PMIBullish change51.451.6
HCOB Services PMIBearish change5754.9
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change-3.4%1%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-5.4%4.2%
Sentix Investor ConfidenceBullish change-13.8-12.8
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change42.643
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.346.9
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change5354.5
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.7%2.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change1.7%2%
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.3%6.3%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bullish change0.7%1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change0.7%0.9%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bullish change1.4%1.5%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.6%1.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change2.1%3.8%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.6%2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.4%
Business ClimateBearish change-0.76-0.96
Consumer Confidence(no change)-12.5-12.5
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBearish change96.395.6
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)Bullish change0.6%0.9%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.1%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change0%-0.2%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.2%0%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change0.9%0.4%
Unemployment ChangeBearish change17K27K
Unemployment Rate s.a.Bearish change6%6.1%
Gross Domestic Product - Estimated (QoQ)(no change)0.8%0.8%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change1.7%1.8%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBullish change-21-18.3

About Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

Country:Germany
Currency:EUR
Source:Federal Statistics Office of Germany
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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