Consumer Inflation Expectations

The Consumer Inflation Expectation released by the Melbourne Institute presents the consumer expectations of future inflation during the next 12 months. The higher expectations, the stronger the effect they will have on a probability of a rate hike by the RBA. Therefore, a high reading should be taken as positive, or bullish, for the AUD, while a low expectations are seen as negative or bearish.

Most recent - Thursday 23 May 2024 01:00

Previous
4.6%
Forecast
-
Actual
4.1%

Next event - Thursday 13 June 2024 01:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on AUD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Consumer Inflation Expectations yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Consumer Inflation Expectations was 4.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 23 May 2024 01:00
-
4.1%
Thursday 11 April 2024 01:00
-
4.6%
Thursday 28 March 2024 00:00
-
4.3%
Thursday 15 February 2024 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 18 January 2024 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 14 December 2023 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 16 November 2023 00:00
-
4.9%
Thursday 12 October 2023 00:00
-
4.8%
Thursday 14 September 2023 01:00
-
4.6%
Thursday 10 August 2023 01:00
-
4.9%
Thursday 13 July 2023 01:00
5.1%
5.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 01:00
4.8%
5.2%
Thursday 11 May 2023 01:00
5%
5%
Thursday 13 April 2023 01:33
5.3%
4.6%
Thursday 16 March 2023 00:00
5.4%
5%
Thursday 16 February 2023 00:00
5.6%
5.1%
Thursday 19 January 2023 00:00
-
5.6%
Thursday 15 December 2022 00:00
5.7%
5.2%
Thursday 10 November 2022 00:00
5.7%
6%
Thursday 13 October 2022 00:00
5.8%
5.4%
Thursday 15 September 2022 01:00
6.7%
5.4%
Thursday 11 August 2022 01:00
-
5.9%
Thursday 14 July 2022 01:00
5.9%
6.3%
Thursday 16 June 2022 01:00
-
6.7%
Thursday 12 May 2022 01:00
4.8%
5%
Thursday 14 April 2022 01:00
4.6%
5.2%
Thursday 10 March 2022 00:00
4.6%
4.9%
Thursday 10 February 2022 00:00
4.5%
4.6%
Thursday 20 January 2022 00:00
-
4.4%
Thursday 16 December 2021 00:00
4.1%
4.8%
Thursday 11 November 2021 00:00
-
4.6%
Thursday 14 October 2021 00:00
3.8%
3.6%
Thursday 16 September 2021 01:00
-
4.4%
Thursday 12 August 2021 01:00
3.8%
3.3%
Thursday 15 July 2021 01:00
3.7%
3.7%
Thursday 10 June 2021 01:00
3.6%
4.4%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for AUD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Consumer Inflation Expectations result:

PreviousLatest
Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI(no change)49.649.6
Judo Bank Composite PMIBearish change5352.6
Judo Bank Services PMIBearish change53.653.1
Westpac Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-2.4%-0.3%
Employment Change s.a.Bullish change-5.9K38.5K
Full-Time EmploymentBearish change26.6K-6.1K
Participation RateBullish change66.6%66.7%
Part-Time EmploymentBullish change-32.5K44.6K
Unemployment Rate s.a.Bearish change3.9%4.1%
Wage Price Index (QoQ)Bearish change1%0.8%

About Consumer Inflation Expectations

Country:Australia
Currency:AUD
Source:University of Melbourne
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

Related events

Australia
Monthly Consumer Price Index (YoY)
Australia
Consumer Price Index (QoQ)
Australia
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ)
Canada
BoC Consumer Price Index Core (YoY)
China
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
Germany
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)
New Zealand
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
United Kingdom
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
United States
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)
United States
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)
Australia
TD Securities Inflation (YoY)
Australia
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
Canada
BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM)
Canada
Consumer Price Index (MoM)
Canada
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
Canada
Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM)
China
Consumer Price Index (MoM)
China
Producer Price Index (YoY)
Germany
Producer Price Index (MoM)
Eurozone
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)
Eurozone
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)
Eurozone
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)
Japan
National CPI ex-Fresh Food (YoY)
Japan
Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY)
Japan
National CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY)
Japan
Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY)
Japan
National Consumer Price Index (YoY)
Japan
Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY)
New Zealand
RBNZ Inflation Expectations (QoQ)
New Zealand
Consumer Price Index (QoQ)
United Kingdom
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)
United Kingdom
Retail Price Index (MoM)
United Kingdom
Retail Price Index (YoY)
United Kingdom
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a
United Kingdom
Consumer Price Index (MoM)
United Kingdom
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.a
United States
Housing Price Index (MoM)
United States
ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid
United States
ISM Services Prices Paid
United States
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)
United States
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
United States
Consumer Price Index Core s.a
United States
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)
United States
Consumer Price Index (MoM)
United States
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)

Personal Trade Copier

Trade Mirror

Trading Simulator

Figaro App Suite

Publisher EA

Figaro Connector EA

All Trader Downloads

All Developer Downloads

Currency Strength

Trader Sentiment

Price Alerts

Mini Charts

Premium Charting

Market Scanner

All Tools

Next High Impact Events

Week View

Next 24 Hours

Session Map

Chart View

Future Events

Past Events

Big Market Movers

Compare Brokers

Broker Offers

Market Analysis

Price Action News

Broker News

Example Analysis

Widgets

FAQ

Statement

Stats

Risk analysis

Widgets

Portfolio

FAQ

Please Log In
Not yet a user?