Consumer Inflation Expectations

The Consumer Inflation Expectation released by the Melbourne Institute presents the consumer expectations of future inflation during the next 12 months. The higher expectations, the stronger the effect they will have on a probability of a rate hike by the RBA. Therefore, a high reading should be taken as positive, or bullish, for the AUD, while a low expectations are seen as negative or bearish.

Most recent - Thursday 10 October 2024 00:00

Previous
4.4%
Forecast
-
Actual
4%

Next event - Thursday 14 November 2024 00:00

Previous
4%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on AUD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Consumer Inflation Expectations yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Consumer Inflation Expectations was 4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 10 October 2024 00:00
-
4%
Thursday 12 September 2024 01:00
-
4.4%
Thursday 15 August 2024 01:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 11 July 2024 01:00
-
4.3%
Thursday 27 June 2024 01:01
-
4.4%
Thursday 23 May 2024 01:00
-
4.1%
Thursday 11 April 2024 01:00
-
4.6%
Thursday 28 March 2024 00:00
-
4.3%
Thursday 15 February 2024 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 18 January 2024 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 14 December 2023 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 16 November 2023 00:00
-
4.9%
Thursday 12 October 2023 00:00
-
4.8%
Thursday 14 September 2023 01:00
-
4.6%
Thursday 10 August 2023 01:00
-
4.9%
Thursday 13 July 2023 01:00
5.1%
5.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 01:00
4.8%
5.2%
Thursday 11 May 2023 01:00
5%
5%
Thursday 13 April 2023 01:33
5.3%
4.6%
Thursday 16 March 2023 00:00
5.4%
5%
Thursday 16 February 2023 00:00
5.6%
5.1%
Thursday 19 January 2023 00:00
-
5.6%
Thursday 15 December 2022 00:00
5.7%
5.2%
Thursday 10 November 2022 00:00
5.7%
6%
Thursday 13 October 2022 00:00
5.8%
5.4%
Thursday 15 September 2022 01:00
6.7%
5.4%
Thursday 11 August 2022 01:00
-
5.9%
Thursday 14 July 2022 01:00
5.9%
6.3%
Thursday 16 June 2022 01:00
-
6.7%
Thursday 12 May 2022 01:00
4.8%
5%
Thursday 14 April 2022 01:00
4.6%
5.2%
Thursday 10 March 2022 00:00
4.6%
4.9%
Thursday 10 February 2022 00:00
4.5%
4.6%
Thursday 20 January 2022 00:00
-
4.4%
Thursday 16 December 2021 00:00
4.1%
4.8%
Thursday 11 November 2021 00:00
-
4.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been strongly bearish for AUD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Consumer Inflation Expectations result:

PreviousLatest
Exports (MoM)Bearish change-0.6%-4.3%
Imports (MoM)Bearish change-0.2%-3.1%
Trade Balance (MoM)Bearish change5284M4609M
AiG Industry IndexBearish change-18.6-28.8
RBA Interest Rate Decision(no change)4.35%4.35%
Judo Bank Composite PMIBullish change49.850.2
Judo Bank Services PMIBullish change50.651
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.8%3.9%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change-3.9%4.4%
Retail Sales (QoQ)Bullish change-0.3%0.5%
Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (QoQ)Bearish change1%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.8%2.8%
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ)Bearish change0.9%0.8%
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI (YoY)Bearish change4%3.5%

About Consumer Inflation Expectations

Country:Australia
Currency:AUD
Source:University of Melbourne
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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