Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey

The Philadelphia Fed Survey is a spread index of manufacturing conditions (movements of manufacturing) within the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. This survey, served as an indicator of manufacturing sector trends, is interrelated with the ISM manufacturing Index (Institute for Supply Management) and the index of industrial production. It is also used as a forecast of The ISM Index. Generally, an above-the-expectaitons reading is seen as positive for the USD.

Most recent - Thursday 18 April 2024 12:30

Previous
3.2
Revised
-
Forecast
1.5
Actual
15.5

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Thursday 16 May 2024 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey was 15.5 against a forecast of 1.5.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 18 April 2024 12:30
1.5
15.5
Thursday 21 March 2024 12:30
-2.3
3.2
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-8
5.2
Thursday 18 January 2024 13:30
-7
-10.6
Thursday 21 December 2023 13:30
-3
-10.5
Thursday 16 November 2023 13:30
-9
-5.9
Thursday 19 October 2023 12:30
-6.6
-9
Thursday 21 September 2023 12:30
-0.7
-13.5
Thursday 17 August 2023 12:30
-10
12
Thursday 20 July 2023 12:30
-10
-13.5
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
-14
-13.7
Thursday 18 May 2023 12:30
-19.8
-10.4
Thursday 20 April 2023 12:30
-19.2
-31.3
Thursday 16 March 2023 12:30
-14.5
-23.2
Thursday 16 February 2023 13:30
-7.4
-24.3
Thursday 19 January 2023 13:30
-11
-8.9
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
-10
-13.8
Thursday 17 November 2022 13:30
-6.2
-19.4
Thursday 20 October 2022 12:30
-5
-8.7
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
2.8
-9.9
Thursday 18 August 2022 12:30
-5
6.2
Thursday 21 July 2022 12:30
0
-12.3
Thursday 16 June 2022 12:30
5.5
-3.3
Thursday 19 May 2022 12:30
16
2.6
Thursday 21 April 2022 12:30
21
17.6
Thursday 17 March 2022 12:30
15
27.4
Thursday 17 February 2022 13:30
20
16
Thursday 20 January 2022 13:30
19.8
23.2
Thursday 16 December 2021 13:30
30
15.4
Thursday 18 November 2021 13:30
24
39
Thursday 21 October 2021 12:30
25
23.8
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
19
30.7
Thursday 19 August 2021 12:30
23
19.4
Thursday 15 July 2021 12:30
28
21.9
Thursday 17 June 2021 12:30
31
30.7
Thursday 20 May 2021 12:30
43
31.5

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey result:

PreviousLatest
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-5.1%8.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change52.150.9
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change51.949.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change51.750.9
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change9.5%-4.3%
Initial Jobless Claims(no change)212K212K
Industrial Production (MoM)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.523M1.458M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.549M1.321M
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-20.9-14.3
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.7%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.3%1.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.6%1.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change79.477.9
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change2.8%3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change222K211K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.6%2.1%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.4%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-296B$-236B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.5%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)3.8%3.8%

About Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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