Initial Jobless Claims

Every Thursday, the US Department of Labor publishes the number of previous week’s initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US. Since this reading could be highly volatile, investors may pay closer attention to the four-week average. A downtrend is seen as a sign of an improving labour market and could have a positive impact on the USD’s performance against its rivals and vice versa.

Next event - Thursday 23 May 2024 12:30

Previous
222K
Forecast
220K
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for Initial Jobless Claims is 220K. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Most recent - Thursday 16 May 2024 12:30

Previous
232K
Revised
232K
Forecast
220K
Actual
222K

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Initial Jobless Claims was 222K against a forecast of 220K.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 16 May 2024 12:30
220K
222K
Thursday 9 May 2024 12:30
210K
231K
Thursday 2 May 2024 12:30
212K
208K
Thursday 25 April 2024 12:30
214K
207K
Thursday 18 April 2024 12:30
215K
212K
Thursday 11 April 2024 12:30
215K
211K
Thursday 4 April 2024 12:30
214K
221K
Thursday 28 March 2024 12:30
215K
210K
Thursday 21 March 2024 12:30
215K
210K
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
218K
209K
Thursday 7 March 2024 13:30
215K
217K
Thursday 29 February 2024 13:30
210K
215K
Thursday 22 February 2024 13:30
218K
201K
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
220K
212K
Thursday 8 February 2024 13:30
220K
218K
Thursday 1 February 2024 13:30
212K
224K
Thursday 25 January 2024 13:30
200K
214K
Thursday 18 January 2024 13:30
207K
187K
Thursday 11 January 2024 13:30
210K
202K
Thursday 4 January 2024 13:30
216K
202K
Thursday 28 December 2023 13:30
210K
218K
Thursday 21 December 2023 13:30
215K
205K
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
220K
202K
Thursday 7 December 2023 13:30
222K
220K
Thursday 30 November 2023 13:30
220K
218K
Wednesday 22 November 2023 13:30
225K
209K
Thursday 16 November 2023 13:30
220K
231K
Thursday 9 November 2023 13:30
218K
217K
Thursday 2 November 2023 12:30
210K
217K
Thursday 26 October 2023 12:30
208K
210K
Thursday 19 October 2023 12:30
212K
198K
Thursday 12 October 2023 12:30
210K
209K
Thursday 5 October 2023 12:30
210K
207K
Thursday 28 September 2023 12:30
215K
204K
Thursday 21 September 2023 12:30
225K
201K
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
225K
220K
Thursday 7 September 2023 12:30
234K
216K
Thursday 31 August 2023 12:30
235K
228K
Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30
240K
230K
Thursday 17 August 2023 12:30
240K
239K
Thursday 10 August 2023 12:30
230K
248K
Thursday 3 August 2023 12:30
227K
227K
Thursday 27 July 2023 12:30
235K
221K
Thursday 20 July 2023 12:30
242K
228K
Thursday 13 July 2023 12:30
250K
237K
Thursday 6 July 2023 12:30
245K
248K
Thursday 29 June 2023 12:30
265K
239K
Thursday 22 June 2023 12:30
260K
264K
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
249K
262K
Thursday 8 June 2023 12:30
235K
261K
Thursday 1 June 2023 12:30
235K
232K
Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30
245K
229K
Thursday 18 May 2023 12:30
254K
242K
Thursday 11 May 2023 12:30
245K
264K
Thursday 4 May 2023 12:30
240K
242K
Thursday 27 April 2023 12:30
248K
230K
Thursday 20 April 2023 12:30
240K
245K
Thursday 13 April 2023 12:30
232K
239K
Thursday 6 April 2023 12:30
200K
228K
Thursday 30 March 2023 12:30
196K
198K
Thursday 23 March 2023 12:30
201K
191K
Thursday 16 March 2023 12:30
205K
192K
Thursday 9 March 2023 13:30
195K
211K
Thursday 2 March 2023 13:30
195K
190K
Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30
200K
192K
Thursday 16 February 2023 13:30
200K
194K
Thursday 9 February 2023 13:30
190K
196K
Thursday 2 February 2023 13:30
200K
183K
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
205K
186K
Thursday 19 January 2023 13:30
214K
190K
Thursday 12 January 2023 13:30
215K
205K
Thursday 5 January 2023 13:30
225K
204K
Thursday 29 December 2022 13:30
-
225K
Thursday 22 December 2022 13:30
222K
216K
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
230K
211K
Thursday 8 December 2022 13:30
230K
230K
Thursday 1 December 2022 13:30
235K
225K
Wednesday 23 November 2022 13:30
225K
240K
Thursday 17 November 2022 13:30
225K
222K
Thursday 10 November 2022 13:30
220K
225K
Thursday 3 November 2022 12:30
220K
217K
Thursday 27 October 2022 12:30
220K
217K
Thursday 20 October 2022 12:30
230K
214K
Thursday 13 October 2022 12:30
225K
228K
Thursday 6 October 2022 12:30
200K
219K
Thursday 29 September 2022 12:30
215K
193K
Thursday 22 September 2022 12:30
218K
213K
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
226K
213K
Thursday 8 September 2022 12:30
240K
222K
Thursday 1 September 2022 12:30
248K
232K
Thursday 25 August 2022 12:30
253K
243K
Thursday 18 August 2022 12:30
265K
250K
Thursday 11 August 2022 12:30
263K
262K
Thursday 4 August 2022 12:30
259K
260K
Thursday 28 July 2022 12:30
253K
256K
Thursday 21 July 2022 12:30
240K
251K
Thursday 14 July 2022 12:30
235K
244K
Thursday 7 July 2022 12:30
230K
235K
Thursday 30 June 2022 12:30
228K
231K
Thursday 23 June 2022 12:30
227K
229K
Thursday 16 June 2022 12:30
-
229K
Thursday 9 June 2022 12:30
210K
229K
Thursday 2 June 2022 12:30
210K
200K
Thursday 26 May 2022 12:30
215K
210K
Thursday 19 May 2022 12:30
200K
218K
Thursday 12 May 2022 12:30
195K
203K
Thursday 5 May 2022 12:30
182K
200K
Thursday 28 April 2022 12:30
180K
180K
Thursday 21 April 2022 12:30
180K
184K
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
171K
185K
Thursday 7 April 2022 12:30
200K
166K
Thursday 31 March 2022 12:30
197K
202K
Thursday 24 March 2022 12:30
212K
187K
Thursday 17 March 2022 12:30
220K
214K
Thursday 10 March 2022 13:30
216K
227K
Thursday 3 March 2022 13:30
225K
215K
Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30
235K
232K
Thursday 17 February 2022 13:30
219K
248K
Thursday 10 February 2022 13:30
230K
223K
Thursday 3 February 2022 13:30
245K
238K
Thursday 27 January 2022 13:30
260K
260K
Thursday 20 January 2022 13:30
220K
286K
Thursday 13 January 2022 13:30
200K
230K
Thursday 6 January 2022 13:30
197K
207K
Thursday 30 December 2021 13:30
208K
198K
Thursday 23 December 2021 13:30
205K
205K
Thursday 16 December 2021 13:30
195K
206K
Thursday 9 December 2021 13:30
215K
184K
Thursday 2 December 2021 13:30
240K
222K
Wednesday 24 November 2021 13:30
260K
199K
Thursday 18 November 2021 13:30
260K
268K
Wednesday 10 November 2021 13:30
-
267K
Thursday 4 November 2021 12:30
277K
269K
Thursday 28 October 2021 12:30
290K
281K
Thursday 21 October 2021 12:30
300K
290K
Thursday 14 October 2021 12:30
319K
293K
Thursday 7 October 2021 12:30
348K
326K
Thursday 30 September 2021 12:30
335K
362K
Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30
320K
351K
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
328K
332K
Thursday 9 September 2021 12:30
335K
310K
Thursday 2 September 2021 12:30
345K
340K
Thursday 26 August 2021 12:30
350K
353K
Thursday 19 August 2021 12:30
363K
348K
Thursday 12 August 2021 12:30
375K
375K
Thursday 5 August 2021 12:30
384K
385K
Thursday 29 July 2021 12:30
380K
400K
Thursday 22 July 2021 12:30
350K
419K
Thursday 15 July 2021 12:30
360K
360K
Thursday 8 July 2021 12:30
350K
373K
Thursday 1 July 2021 12:30
393K
364K
Thursday 24 June 2021 12:30
380K
411K
Thursday 17 June 2021 12:30
359K
412K
Thursday 10 June 2021 12:30
370K
376K
Thursday 3 June 2021 12:30
395K
385K
Thursday 27 May 2021 12:30
425K
406K

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Initial Jobless Claims result:

PreviousLatest
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-3.7%-1.9%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.1%0%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.467M1.44M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.287M1.36M
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change15.54.5
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.5%3.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.8%3.6%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change-14.3-15.6
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change1%-0.3%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.2%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.5%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.8%2.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.4%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.5%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-236B$210B
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change77.267.4
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%

About Initial Jobless Claims

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Department of Labor
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Weekly/week-based

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