Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a percentage that surges from dividing the number of unemployed workers by the total civilian labor force. It represents the percentage of people actively seeking employment and willing to work. Usually, as a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its unemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish), although by itself, the number can't determinate the markets move as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payroll.

Most recent - Friday 5 July 2024 12:30

Previous
4%
Revised
-
Forecast
4%
Actual
4.1%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 4.1% against a forecast of 4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.8%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
3.4%
3.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 1 April 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.6%
Friday 4 March 2022 13:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 4 February 2022 13:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 7 January 2022 13:30
4.1%
3.9%
Friday 3 December 2021 13:30
4.5%
4.2%
Friday 5 November 2021 12:30
4.7%
4.6%
Friday 8 October 2021 12:30
5.1%
4.8%
Friday 3 September 2021 12:30
5.2%
5.2%
Friday 6 August 2021 12:30
5.7%
5.4%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change68.266
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.9%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-347B$-66B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.3%3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change239K222K
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4.1%3.9%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.5%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change218K206K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.4%7.4%
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.5%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change47.146.1
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change54.147.3
ISM Services PMIBearish change53.848.8
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change58.156.3
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.654.8
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change233K238K
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change157K150K
Challenger Job CutsBearish change63.816K48.786K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.919M8.14M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBearish change51.149.3
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change45.449.3
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.748.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change5752.1

About Unemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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