Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), released by US Bureau of Labour Statistics, is a quarterly measure of the change in the price of labor, defined as compensation per employee hour worked. Closely watched by many economists, the ECI is an indicator of cost pressures within companies that could lead to price inflation for finished goods and services. The index measures changes in the cost of compensation not only for wages and salaries, but also for an extensive list of benefits.

Most recent - Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30

Previous
0.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.9%
Actual
0.8%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Employment Cost Index was 0.8% against a forecast of 0.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 31 October 2024 12:30
0.9%
0.8%
Wednesday 31 July 2024 12:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30
1%
1.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 31 October 2023 12:30
1%
1.1%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
1.1%
1.2%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 13:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.2%
Friday 29 July 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.3%
Friday 29 April 2022 12:30
1.1%
1.4%
Friday 28 January 2022 13:30
1.2%
1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Employment Cost Index result:

PreviousLatest
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.425M-0.6M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.353M1.311M
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%-0.3%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-11.931.2
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.4%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change1.2%-0.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change1%0.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K217K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.9%2.4%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3.1%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$64.7B$-257B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.6%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)3.3%3.3%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change70.573
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change5%4.75%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change218K221K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change2.1%2.2%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change2.4%1.9%

About Employment Cost Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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