Autumn Forecast Statement

Autumn Forecast Statement is is one of the two statements HM Treasury makes each year to Parliament upon publication of economic forecasts. This document provides an updated economic outlook and previews the government's budget for the coming year, including expected spending and income levels, borrowing levels, and financial objectives. It also contains comments on the latest independent economic forecasts prepared by the OBR.

Most recent - Wednesday 22 November 2023 12:45

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Date
Wednesday 22 November 2023 12:45
Thursday 17 November 2022 12:45
Wednesday 27 October 2021 12:45

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. The following recent announcements may affect the market reaction to Autumn Forecast Statement:

PreviousLatest
30-y Bond AuctionBearish change4.43%4.636%
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBullish change52.352.7
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBullish change50.951.8
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBullish change52.152.4
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change2.9%-1.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.7%-0.2%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bearish change2.9%-1.5%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change1.6%-0.8%
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-14-13
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change6%5.7%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change5.9%5.7%
Claimant Count ChangeBullish change51.9K32.3K
Claimant Count RateBearish change4.3%4.4%
Employment ChangeBullish change-140K19K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)(no change)4.4%4.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)2%2%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)3.5%3.5%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0.2%0.1%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bullish change1%1.1%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0%-0.3%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBearish change1.7%1.4%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.9%

About Autumn Forecast Statement

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:
Category:Politics
Frequency:Irregular
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