Monthly Budget Statement

The Monthly Budget Statement released by the Financial Management Service summarizes the financial activities of federal entities, disbursing officers, and Federal Reserve banks. A positive budget statement that receipts exceed budgetary outlays is seen as bullish for the USD. On the other hands, a negative figure (deficit) that indicates government debt is seen as bearish.

Most recent - Wednesday 13 November 2024 19:00

Previous
$64.7B
Revised
$64.7B
Forecast
$-211B
Actual
$-257B

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday 11 December 2024 19:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Monthly Budget Statement yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Monthly Budget Statement was $-257B against a forecast of $-211B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 13 November 2024 19:00
$-211B
$-257B
Friday 18 October 2024 20:00
$61B
$64B
Thursday 12 September 2024 18:00
$-349.6B
$-380B
Monday 12 August 2024 18:00
$-254.3B
$-244B
Thursday 11 July 2024 18:00
$-83B
$-66B
Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00
$-250B
$-347B
Friday 10 May 2024 18:00
$244.5B
$209.5B
Wednesday 10 April 2024 18:00
$-197.5B
$-236B
Tuesday 12 March 2024 18:00
$-299B
$-296B
Monday 12 February 2024 19:00
$-21B
$-22B
Thursday 11 January 2024 19:00
$-65.25B
$-129B
Tuesday 12 December 2023 19:00
$-301.05B
$-314B
Monday 13 November 2023 19:00
$-65B
$-67B
Friday 20 October 2023 18:00
$-78.6B
$-171B
Wednesday 13 September 2023 18:00
$-240B
$89B
Thursday 10 August 2023 18:00
$-109.3B
$-221B
Thursday 13 July 2023 18:00
$-175B
$-228B
Monday 12 June 2023 18:00
$-236B
$-240B
Wednesday 10 May 2023 18:00
$235B
$176B
Wednesday 12 April 2023 18:00
$-302B
$-378B
Friday 10 March 2023 19:00
$-256B
$-262B
Friday 10 February 2023 19:00
$-63B
$-39B
Thursday 12 January 2023 19:00
$-70B
$-85B
Monday 12 December 2022 19:00
-
$-249B
Thursday 10 November 2022 19:00
$-90B
$-88B
Friday 21 October 2022 14:30
-
$-430B
Tuesday 13 September 2022 18:00
$-213.5B
$-220B
Wednesday 10 August 2022 18:00
$-194B
$-211B
Wednesday 13 July 2022 18:00
$-76.5B
$-89B
Friday 10 June 2022 18:00
$-120B
$-66B
Wednesday 11 May 2022 18:00
$226B
$308B
Tuesday 12 April 2022 18:00
$-191B
$-193B
Thursday 10 March 2022 19:00
$-49.5B
$-217B
Thursday 10 February 2022 19:00
$25B
$119B
Wednesday 12 January 2022 19:00
-
$-21B
Friday 10 December 2021 19:00
$-195B
$-191B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Monthly Budget Statement result:

PreviousLatest
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.372M7.744M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change44.448.1
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change47.150.4
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.548.4
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change54.850.3
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.6%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.6%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change7.5%2%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change41.640.2
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-0.4%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-0.9%0.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.4%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.8%2.8%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change1.8%1.9%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.3%-0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.5%1.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change215K213K
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change7%-17.3%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.7%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7371.8
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.1%3.2%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.155.3
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change48.548.8
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change5557
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-1.3%3.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change219K213K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change10.3-5.5

About Monthly Budget Statement

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of the Fiscal Service
Category:Politics
Frequency:Monthly
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