Fed Interest Rate Decision

The US Federal Reserve has a policy meeting every five to eight weeks, and its single most significant decision is interest rates. A rise is taken to mean a healthy economy, and is bullish for USD. A rate cut sends the opposite signal. If the rate is left unchanged, the market can still be significantly removed by remarks during the subsequent FOMC Press Conference, starting 30 minutes after the rate announcement.

Most recent - Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00

Previous
5.5%
Forecast
5.5%
Actual
5.5%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Fed Interest Rate Decision was 5.5% against a forecast of 5.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 1 May 2024 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 20 March 2024 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 19:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 13 December 2023 19:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 1 November 2023 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 20 September 2023 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 26 July 2023 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 14 June 2023 18:00
5.25%
5.25%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 18:00
5.25%
5.25%
Wednesday 22 March 2023 18:00
5%
5%
Wednesday 1 February 2023 19:00
4.75%
4.75%
Wednesday 14 December 2022 19:00
4.5%
4.5%
Wednesday 2 November 2022 18:00
4%
4%
Wednesday 21 September 2022 18:00
3.25%
3.25%
Wednesday 27 July 2022 18:00
2.5%
2.5%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 18:00
1.5%
1.75%
Wednesday 4 May 2022 18:00
1%
1%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 18:00
0.5%
0.5%
Wednesday 26 January 2022 19:00
0.25%
0.25%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 19:00
0.25%
0.25%
Wednesday 3 November 2021 18:00
0.25%
0.25%
Wednesday 22 September 2021 18:00
-
0.25%
Wednesday 28 July 2021 18:00
0.25%
0.25%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Fed Interest Rate Decision result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change6666.4
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change2.9%3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.6%2.6%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.6%2.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.4%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change3.7%2.9%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change0.1%-6.6%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change0%-7%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change-0.1%0.5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change1.4%2.8%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change3.1%2.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change243K235K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.9%1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bearish change3.4%2.6%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-14.9%-0.6%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.855
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change51.649.5
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change55.356
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change-0.7%-5.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change223K243K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change1.313.9
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change1%0.6%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.399M1.446M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.314M1.353M
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.4%0.9%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change-6-6.6

About Fed Interest Rate Decision

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve
Category:Interest Rates
Frequency:Weekly/week-based
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