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Goods and Services Trade Balance

The Goods and Services Trade Balance released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau is a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows trade surplus, while a negative value shows trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the USD. If a steady demand in exchange for US exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the USD.<

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Most recent - Thursday 3 April 2025 12:30

$-131.4B

Revised

$-130.7B

Forecast

$-123.5B

Actual

$-122.7B

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 6 May 2025 12:30

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Goods and Services Trade Balance yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Goods and Services Trade Balance was $-122.7B against a forecast of $-123.5B.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Thursday 3 April 2025 12:30

$-123.5B

$-122.7B

Thursday 6 March 2025 13:30

$-127.4B

$-131.4B

Wednesday 5 February 2025 13:30

$-96.6B

$-98.4B

Tuesday 7 January 2025 13:30

$-78B

$-78.2B

Thursday 5 December 2024 13:30

$-75B

$-73.8B

Tuesday 5 November 2024 13:30

$-84.1B

$-84.4B

Tuesday 8 October 2024 12:30

$-70.6B

$-70.4B

Wednesday 4 September 2024 12:30

$-79B

$-78.8B

Tuesday 6 August 2024 12:30

$-72.4B

$-73.1B

Wednesday 3 July 2024 12:30

$-76.2B

$-75.1B

Thursday 6 June 2024 12:30

$-76.1B

$-74.6B

Thursday 2 May 2024 12:30

$-69.1B

$-69.4B

Thursday 4 April 2024 12:30

$-67.3B

$-68.9B

Thursday 7 March 2024 13:30

$-63.5B

$-67.4B

Wednesday 7 February 2024 13:30

$-62.2B

Tuesday 9 January 2024 13:30

$-65B

$-63.2B

Wednesday 6 December 2023 13:30

$-64.1B

$-64.3B

Tuesday 7 November 2023 13:30

$-60.2B

$-61.5B

Thursday 5 October 2023 12:30

$-62.3B

$-58.3B

Wednesday 6 September 2023 12:30

$-65.8B

$-65B

Tuesday 8 August 2023 12:30

$-65B

$-65.5B

Thursday 6 July 2023 12:30

$-69.8B

$-69B

Wednesday 7 June 2023 12:30

$-75.2B

$-74.6B

Thursday 4 May 2023 12:30

$-63.3B

$-64.2B

Wednesday 5 April 2023 12:30

$-69B

$-70.5B

Wednesday 8 March 2023 13:30

$-68.9B

$-68.3B

Tuesday 7 February 2023 13:30

$-68.5B

$-67.4B

Thursday 5 January 2023 13:30

$-74B

$-61.51B

Tuesday 6 December 2022 13:30

$-79.1B

$-78.2B

Thursday 3 November 2022 12:30

$-72.2B

$-73.28B

Wednesday 5 October 2022 12:30

$-68B

$-67.4B

Wednesday 7 September 2022 12:30

$-70.3B

$-70.7B

Thursday 4 August 2022 12:30

$-80.1B

$-79.6B

Thursday 7 July 2022 12:30

$-84.9B

$-85.55B

Tuesday 7 June 2022 12:30

$-89.5B

$-87.1B

Wednesday 4 May 2022 12:30

$-107B

$-109.8B

Tuesday 5 April 2022 12:30

$-88.5B

$-89.2B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Goods and Services Trade Balance result:

		Previous	Latest
ISM Services Employment Index	Bearish change	53.9	46.2
ISM Services New Orders Index	Bearish change	52.2	50.4
ISM Services PMI	Bearish change	53.5	50.8
ISM Services Prices Paid	Bearish change	62.6	60.9
S&P Global Composite PMI	(no change)	53.5	53.5
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	225K	219K
Challenger Job Cuts	Bullish change	172.017K	275.24K
Factory Orders (MoM)	Bearish change	1.8%	0.6%
ADP Employment Change	Bullish change	84K	155K
ISM Manufacturing Employment Index	Bearish change	47.6	44.7
ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index	Bearish change	48.6	45.2
ISM Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	50.3	49
ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid	Bullish change	62.4	69.4
JOLTS Job Openings	Bearish change	7.762M	7.568M
Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index	Bullish change	45.5	47.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bearish change	57.9	57
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bullish change	3.9%	4.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.3%	0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	2.7%	2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	(no change)	0.3%	0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	(no change)	2.5%	2.5%
Personal Income (MoM)	Bullish change	0.7%	0.8%
Personal Spending	Bullish change	-0.3%	0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-4.6%	2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)	Bearish change	2.7%	2.6%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized	Bullish change	2.3%	2.4%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index	Bearish change	2.4%	2.3%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	225K	224K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)	(no change)	2.4%	2.4%
Durable Goods Orders	Bearish change	3.3%	0.9%
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense	Bearish change	3.7%	0.8%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bullish change	0.1%	0.7%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bearish change	0.9%	-0.3%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bullish change	-6.9%	1.8%
Housing Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.5%	0.2%
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bullish change	51.6	53.5
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	52.7	49.8
S&P Global Services PMI	Bullish change	51	54.3

About Goods and Services Trade Balance

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Capital Flows
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Trade Balance (MoM)
	Australia		Exports (MoM)
	Australia		Imports (MoM)
	Canada		Current Account
	China		Imports (YoY)
	China		Exports (YoY)
	China		Trade Balance USD
	China		Trade Balance CNY
	China		Imports (YoY) CNY
	China		Exports (YoY) CNY
	Germany		Trade Balance s.a.
	Japan		Merchandise Trade Balance Total
	Japan		Exports (YoY)
	Japan		Imports (YoY)
	Japan		Current Account n.s.a.
	New Zealand		Exports
	New Zealand		Trade Balance NZD (YoY)
	New Zealand		Imports

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Goods and Services Trade Balance

Most recent - Thursday 3 April 2025 12:30

Next event - Tuesday 6 May 2025 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Goods and Services Trade Balance event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Goods and Services Trade Balance

Related events