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NAGA Weekly Recap July 21 - 25, 2025

Markets wrapped the week digesting a wave of macro signals. The ECB kept rates on hold and doubled down on its data-dependent stance, signaling no rush to pivot. That echoed across risk assets, with traders recalibrating bets in real time. Fresh inflation prints and economic activity reports added fuel to the fire, shaking up sentiment and forcing tighter, more tactical positioning across equities, bonds, and FX. For active traders, it’s a game of reaction speed and macro awareness. Volatility’s back—trade smart, stay agile.

Markets Data & Policy in Focus The market story went beyond the usual economic data, with renewed urgency around global trade talks and ongoing efforts to strengthen supply chains. While no major geopolitical crises emerged, looming tariff deadlines and strategic shifts between key trading blocs added a layer of uncertainty. For traders, this means staying alert and adaptable—because in today’s market, opportunities and risks are closely intertwined. Stocks Earnings Season & Rate Outlook This week’s earnings season brought mixed results, giving traders key insights into company health. Many firms showed resilience, but the spotlight stayed on forward guidance as the macro landscape shifts. Tech stocks remained center stage, with some rotation as investors weighed growth potential against interest rate concerns. Overall, markets balanced solid earnings with cautious economic signals—making it a week to stay strategic. Commodities Inventory Surprises & Market Rebalancing Commodities saw some big moves, especially in energy, where fresh inventory data triggered sharp price shifts. Crude oil prices stayed sensitive to ongoing talks about global supply and demand. Industrial metals traded within steady ranges, tracking global manufacturing health. Meanwhile, gold faced some pressure but held strong as a classic safe haven, attracting investors looking to hedge against currency swings and market uncertainty. Forex Dollar Weakens Amid Policy & Trade Shifts The US Dollar slipped noticeably against major currencies, driven by changing Fed policy expectations and rising trade tariff uncertainties. Meanwhile, the Euro and other currencies gained as their economies looked more stable and interest rate gaps shifted. Traders reacted to political moves affecting central bank independence and trade tensions, fueling currency volatility and making it a tough environment for dollar bulls.

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Publication date:

2025-07-28 12:20:06 (GMT)

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