ILO Unemployment

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by INSEE is the number of unemployed workers compared to all the active workers in the economy. If the number rises, it indicates a lack of expansion within the French labor market and thus a weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Thursday 13 November 2025 06:30

Previous
7.5%
Revised
7.6%
Forecast
7.6%
Actual
7.7%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ILO Unemployment was 7.7% against a forecast of 7.6%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 13 November 2025 06:30
7.6%
7.7%
Friday 8 August 2025 05:30
7.5%
7.5%
Friday 16 May 2025 05:30
7.4%
7.4%
Tuesday 11 February 2025 06:30
7.5%
7.3%
Wednesday 13 November 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.4%
Friday 9 August 2024 05:30
7.5%
7.3%
Friday 17 May 2024 05:30
7.4%
7.5%
Tuesday 13 February 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.5%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 06:30
-
7.4%
Friday 11 August 2023 05:30
7.1%
7.2%
Wednesday 17 May 2023 05:30
7.1%
7.1%
Tuesday 14 February 2023 06:30
7.3%
7.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ILO Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Employment Change (QoQ)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)(no change)1.4%1.4%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change-3.4%-0.7%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bearish change2%1.5%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.1%0%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change1.2%1.5%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.1%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change-0.2%-0.5%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change52.452.8
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change52.152.4
HCOB Services PMIBullish change52.753.1
HCOB Services PMIBearish change56.655.6
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.5%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.4%2.4%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.2%
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.4%6.4%
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.448.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change49.950.6
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change52.151.5
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.3%2.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.6%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bearish change1.3%1.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)1.2%1.2%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.4%0.6%
Unemployment ChangeBearish change-1K1K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)6.3%6.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change3.2%3.1%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)(no change)0.8%0.8%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.3%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change0.8%0.9%
Consumer Confidence(no change)-14.2-14.2
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBullish change96.897
Business ClimateBearish change-0.47-0.66
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBullish change-24.1-23.2
10-y Bond AuctionBearish change2.62%2.67%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(no change)0%0%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)(no change)0.3%0.3%
IFO – Business ClimateBearish change88.488.1
IFO – Current AssessmentBullish change85.385.6
IFO – ExpectationsBearish change91.690.6

About ILO Unemployment

Country:France
Currency:EUR
Source:INSEE
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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